Wrong

Newsweek discusses just how wrong Rove's predictions were. We now know that Rove wasn't projecting confidence just to appear strong before the election. He really believed that the GOP would hang on:

Based on his models, he forecast a loss of 12 to 14 seats in the House—enough to hang on to the majority. Rove placed so much faith in his figures that, after the elections, he planned to convene a panel of Republican political scientists—to study just how wrong the polls were.